MacroSavvy™

Job trends bolstering outlook for weak places in 2018

Job gains are supporting an outlook for sustained growth in 2018 and raising prospects for slower-growing places across the middle and Northeast part of the country—led by job gains in energy, mining and other goods industries. Although the strongest parts of…



U.S. economy on track to sustain growth in 2018

The U.S. economy appears to be on track to sustain economic growth into 2018 based on insights from the latest GDP data through the fourth quarter of 2017. The outlook is particularly encouraging given the latest uptick in the data excluding…


Initial Holiday Results: Much better than expected

Holiday sales for November-December approached a 6% gain, which outpaced forecasts of a better holiday and year-ago performance by as much as two percentage points or more. The strength was evident across all types of brick and mortar stores—not just online….



Spending confidence sagged amid tax reform debate

Spending confidence sagged in December amid uncertainty about tax reform effects—especially among Gen X and Boomer households, who make up the bulk of affected tax payers. Millennials were the encouraging exception. Their confidence to spend over the next 90 days continued…


Holidays shaping up even better than forecast

The holidays are shaping up even better than forecast as November retail sales surged and prior months were revised upward—raising prospects for a strong consumer spending trend to start to the New Year. Store channels—primarily home improvement, electronics, and home furnishings…